Tiktaalik: 3-Pair FX Portfolio

12 years backtested. 197+ experiments. All headline numbers are out-of-sample (2020+).

CAGR (5x leverage)

16.37%

Max Drawdown (5x)

12.0%

Calmar Ratio

1.36

Monthly Win Rate

73.3%

Sharpe 1.71 · 1 losing full years · Out-of-sample (2020+), full execution simulator (Oanda spreads + financing)

Returns by Leverage

Leverage CAGR Max DD Worst Year Calmar
Base 5x 16.37% 12.0% 7.3% 1.36
Moderate 10x 32.36% 22.1% 13.8% 1.47
Aggressive 15x 48.28% 30.8% 19.4% 1.57
High 20x 64.04% 38.5% 24.0% 1.66

All figures post-financing (Oanda overnight rates). See Costs for breakdown or try the Calculator for any leverage.

*Sharpe ratio: annualized from monthly returns (mean/std × √12). Reported for completeness but easily gameable via leverage or period selection, so not featured as a headline metric.

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